Houston, TX – Southeast Texas is heading into a week of foggy mornings, unseasonably warm afternoons, and a potential thunderstorm setup by mid-week that could affect early holiday travel. Forecasters say the region’s warm, humid pattern will dominate through Monday before a developing Gulf system brings increasing rain chances.
Fog and Warmth Start the Week
Patchy pre-dawn fog is expected both Saturday and Sunday, with visibility dropping near bayous, open fields, and low-lying neighborhoods across Houston, Sugar Land, Pasadena, and surrounding areas. Drivers heading out for early errands should allow extra time and use low-beam headlights when mist thickens.
Despite the fog, temperatures will rise quickly, pushing into the lower 80s, resembling late-September warmth rather than mid-November. The persistent warmth will continue through the weekend as southerly winds pull in Gulf moisture, creating that familiar sticky coastal air Houston residents know well.
Developing Gulf Moisture and Pattern Shift
A subtle pattern change is expected early next week as moisture gathers along the western Gulf. By late Monday night, cloud cover will increase, signaling a shift toward wetter conditions.
Tuesday: Humid and Slight Rain Chance
Models indicate a small shower chance (around 20%) Tuesday morning, but forecasters expect most areas to remain dry, warm, and muggy through the afternoon.
Wednesday: Stronger Storm Signal
A broader storm system approaching from the west could bring heavier rain bursts and possible thunderstorms. Forecasters warn that commutes, flights, and early holiday travel may be affected.
“A noticeable uptick in rain and storm coverage is likely Wednesday as deeper Gulf moisture interacts with an incoming disturbance,” forecasters said.
While severe weather is not guaranteed, the setup will be monitored for potential impacts.
Cooler Air Behind Mid-Week Storms
Once the mid-week system moves through, Houston may experience a modest temperature dip late week. Current projections show no frost or freeze threat, but a cooler, less humid air mass could offer brief relief from the sticky conditions.
The bigger question for residents: Will the cooldown last into Thanksgiving week?
Forecasters say it’s still too early to know.
Five-Day Houston Weather Outlook
- Saturday: 83°/65° – Sunny; fog developing late
- Sunday: 84°/67° – Early fog, then partly sunny
- Monday: 84°/71° – Partly cloudy with patchy morning fog
- Tuesday: 84°/70° – 20% showers; humid and warm
- Wednesday: 81°/68° – 40% showers and storms; travel impacts possible
What Happens Next
Meteorologists will monitor the Gulf closely for any shifts in moisture strength that could increase rainfall totals. Travelers should keep an eye on updated forecasts beginning Monday and expect potential delays on Wednesday, especially at IAH and Hobby Airport.
What do you think about this week’s changing weather? Share your thoughts in the comments below.
