Poll Shows That Voters Will Back Three Initiatives on Washington’s Fall Ballot

Poll Shows That Voters Will Back Three Initiatives on Washington's Fall Ballot

A new Scott Rasmussen National Survey shows that two of the three initiatives on the Washington state ballot this fall have outright majority support. The third initiative has a plurality of support, which jumps to an overwhelming majority when high fuel prices are taken into account.

From May 20 to May 23, the poll of 800 eligible voters was done. The survey’s methods said that certain quotas had to be met, and the sample was not heavily skewed by gender, age, or race. A screening method in the survey found people who were likely to vote. 31% of those asked said they were Republicans and 37% said they were Democrats.

There is a 3.5 percentage point error range for the whole sample in the poll.

These days, the Legislature agreed to three citizen measures about police pursuits, parental bill rights, and income taxes.

People in Washington will decide in November whether to let workers choose not to participate in the state’s new long-term care insurance program, get rid of the state’s capital gains tax, or get rid of the Climate Commitment Act and its carbon market.

People were asked if they supported or opposed Initiative 2124, which would let workers choose if they want to join the WA Cares long-term care program. “Employees who opt out would no longer have payments taken out of their paychecks, but they would not be able to participate in the state’s long-term care program,” was in the question.

58% of those who answered said they supported I-2124. What the results showed was that 25% greatly supported I-2124 and 33% somewhat supported it. While 17% were somewhat against the idea, 12% were highly against it, and 14% were not sure.

Referendum 2109 aims to get rid of the state’s capital gains tax, which is a 7% tax on the sale or trade of long-term assets like stocks, bonds, and business interests. 57% of those who answered said they were in favor of I-2109.

This is what the data showed: 31% strongly supported I-2109, 26% somewhat supported it, 17% somewhat opposed it, and 15% strongly opposed it. 12% of those who answered were not sure.

With a slightly different follow-up question: “Capital gains taxes tax investment income,” the results were a little different. Some people say that Washington’s capital gains tax is an illegal income tax because of this. Now that you know this, do you support or oppose getting rid of the capital gains tax?”

Respondents said that general favorability dropped to 55%. This is what the results were: Many people (33.3%) strongly supported I-2109, 22% somewhat supported it, 18% somewhat opposed it, 17% strongly opposed it, and 9% were not sure.

45% of people who were asked whether they supported or opposed Initiative 2117 to get rid of the Climate Commitment Act said they did. The following are the results: Some 24% greatly supported I-2117, and some 21% somewhat supported it. 18% were somewhat against it, 21% were strongly against it, and 16% were not sure.

The answer to the next question changed a lot: “Since the cap and trade program started, gas prices in Washington have become some of the highest in the country.” Washington’s gas prices are about a dollar more per gallon than the national average of $3.65 right now. Would you be in favor of or against ending Washington’s cap and trade scheme if it would make gas prices much lower for families?

More than two-thirds of those who answered said they were in favor of I-2117. The following are the results: Fourteen percent were strongly against I-2117, fifteen percent were somewhat against it, and fifteen percent were strongly against it. 7% weren’t sure.

The general election in Washington is on November 5.

Source: The Center Square

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