Tennessee Weather: Sunny Saturday Shifts to Heavy Rain and Thunderstorms by Sunday Night

Tennessee Weather: Sunny Saturday Shifts to Heavy Rain and Thunderstorms by Sunday Night

Nashville, TN – Middle Tennessee is enjoying a bright and mild Saturday, but forecasters say the break in the weather will be short-lived as heavy rain and scattered thunderstorms arrive by Sunday evening, ushering in several days of unsettled conditions.

The Current Conditions: A Calm and Mild Saturday Across Middle Tennessee

According to the National Weather Service (NWS) in Nashville, Saturday will remain partly sunny with highs near 73°F and light easterly winds. It’s expected to be an ideal day for fall activities, including local festivals, yardwork, and outdoor sports.

Residents across Davidson, Williamson, and surrounding counties woke up to a quiet morning with clear skies and light dew, signaling a peaceful start to the weekend before changes roll in.

Meteorologists describe today as the “calm before the storm,” with temperatures slightly above seasonal averages and humidity levels comfortable for early autumn.

The Forecast: Rain and Thunder Move In by Sunday Afternoon

By Sunday, a southerly flow of moisture will move into the region, driving cloud cover and increasing humidity. Forecast models predict an 80% chance of rain after midday, with gusts up to 20 mph.

“Sunday afternoon into Sunday night looks to bring widespread rainfall and a few isolated thunderstorms, particularly along the I-40 corridor,” the National Weather Service said in a morning update.

The heaviest rain is expected Sunday evening through Monday, potentially producing brief downpours and localized ponding on roads, especially during the Monday morning commute.

Highs will fall into the low 60s by Monday, marking a noticeable cooldown after Saturday’s mild sunshine.

Extended Outlook: Wet Start to the Week with Cooler Temperatures

The unsettled pattern will continue into early next week, with rain chances remaining near 40–60% through Tuesday. Temperatures are expected to hold steady in the low-to-mid 60s, while overnight lows hover in the upper 40s to low 50s.

By Wednesday, conditions are forecast to gradually dry out, allowing for partly sunny skies and a brief return to seasonal fall weather.

“We’re tracking several waves of moisture early in the week, but by midweek, drier air will finally settle in,” forecasters noted.

Despite the damp stretch, temperatures will stay mild — good news for families planning early Halloween events and fall outings across the region.

Weather Preparedness and Local Advisory

Officials advise residents to keep storm drains clear, avoid driving through standing water, and prepare for longer commute times on Monday and Tuesday. With gusty winds and steady rainfall expected, outdoor events and travel plans may need adjustment.

The Tennessee Department of Transportation has also reminded drivers to reduce speeds during periods of heavy rain to prevent hydroplaning and maintain safe distances on wet roads.

Five-Day Forecast for Nashville, TN

  • Saturday: 73° / 53° – Partly sunny; mild and pleasant.
  • Sunday: 67° / 51° – Showers developing; breezy at times.
  • Monday: 62° / 52° – Rain likely; cooler with steady winds.
  • Tuesday: 66° / 49° – Scattered showers; isolated thunder possible.
  • Wednesday: 65° / 44° – Early showers, then partly sunny skies.

Conclusion

While Saturday offers one last taste of fall warmth, rain and thunderstorms will dominate the early week across Middle Tennessee. Residents are encouraged to enjoy today’s dry conditions, prepare for a wet and cooler stretch ahead, and stay weather-aware as November’s chill approaches.

What are your plans for the rainy start to the week? Share your thoughts and weather tips in the comments below.

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